Why do Jockeys ride to instruction

Why do Jockeys ride to instruction?

Well this is an easy one to answer, because if they don’t, they won’t get any more rides. The racing world is very small and the last thing a jockey wants is a reputation of not doing what he has been told.

Some trainers know what they are doing and some really don’t have a clue.  Which can also be said for Jockeys.

There are many reasons for giving instructions to the jockey, this could be front running over a certain distance on a specific going condition. E.g. 3 miles on heavy going, or 2 miles on good to firm going or it could be down to the horses personality, perhaps they know the horse needs to settle in the pack before taking up the running.

A trainer may want to know if he is more suited to a left handed track or right handed, is the horse is getting easily distracted, is his mind on the job?, do they want to race?, we have seen horses jink in the last furlong time after time when they spot the exit to the stables, are they tired? Are they lazy? Do they not want to run anymore? Are they in pain? Do they need blinkers? hood fitted?  are they struggling to breathe?, do they need a wind operation or tongue strap?. Do they jump well in a crowd of horses? are they suited to fences rather than hurdles, Should the horse be coming off the pace or front running?, All this can be fed back to the trainer in the debrief from the jockey following the race.

Is the trainer trying to improve the horse’s handicap rating? There are so many reasons and the trick is to know how a horse is likely to run.

One trap a punter falls into is following top jockeys, I have seen many times top jockeys going to a meeting for one ride and trailing in last. What the trainer is after is the race debrief as he has no idea how the horse will run, such as, he’s carrying too much weight, he needs a shorter trip, he doesn’t act on the ground etc.

Only a few days ago, I spotted a horse that McCoy rode last time out, this time he had a 7lb claimer on board and the trip was shorter, McCoy was riding the favourite and was beaten by the claimer, proving having an experienced jockey on board doesn’t always mean they are going to win, the trainer is after the knowledge and experience which will give the horse a better chance the next time out.

What we are all interested in is, are the instructions given by the trainer to the jockey to win the race?, it’s probably not a surprise but on many occasions a horse will not win the race as long as he’s got 4 legs. This is either the horse hasn’t the ability or the trainer doesn’t want him to win.

A common instructions is if you can’t win don’t try, how many times have we seen jockeys press the button and then when the horse doesn’t pick up and the chance has gone, they drop their hands and finish out the placing’s.

Surely not, after all what is the point of running in a race if you’re not trying to win. Well it comes down to the root of all evil, Money?

Some trainers can’t survive without a big price winning gamble, after all if they are a small yard, training fees on a handful of horses don’t go very far. So the only way to survive is having it off with an outsider.

There is also the kudos of winning a hot handicap so the horse does the minimum to enter has a few trips and boom beats the odds on favourite at a price of 20-1. The added benefit is doing this in front of a crowd and on trainer showcase day widely known as Saturday while the world and TV cameras are watching. Is to say look what I can do, one way of getting more horses into their yard.

So to wind up, the jockey maybe good, but it’s all starts with the trainer.

Follow us on twitter.com/ukracingwizard or click here to become a member www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register.

Why Strike rate is more important than a £1 average

Why Strike rate is more important than a £1 average

Don’t get me wrong, a £1 average point score is a good measure but there is so much more profit to be made.

Personally I would take a high strike rate over a £1 average any day and this is why.

If the win strike rate is high, let say a monthly average of 95% this mean that 19 out of 20 bets would win, obviously not likely, but if it was 95% would you continue to bet singles? or go for doubles, trebles, 4 fold accumulators etc?.

Another negative aspect of a £1 average is consistency, as a £1 Average can be gained from just a few winners in the first few weeks of the year and not on an ongoing basis. Let say someone tips two 25/1 winners, technically they could tip 40-50 losers in a row and still show a profit.

So to explain further, if for example a horse racing tipster has a 20% strike rate the results would be similar to the below.

1st, 4th, 5th, 4th, 9th 1st, 4th, 5th 7th, 8th basically every 1 in 5 horses should win, or 2 in 10, 4 in 20 etc.

Now a very good tipster should be hitting 40-42% Win strike rate, that would look something similar to the below.

1st, 4th 4th, 1st, 1st, 4th, 5th,3rd, 1st, 9th over otherwise illustrated as 4 in every ten, 8 in 20 tips and so on.

A 50% win strike rate yes, you have guessed it, it would be something like one in two.

1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 4th, 1st, 5th or 1st,1st, 2nd,2nd,1st, 1st or 5 in 10 tips 10 in 20 tips etc.

The higher the strike rate the better. So over 50% is quite attractive.

Our nap (best bet) strike rate is approaching 77% with our nap placed strike rate approaching being 98% and consistent, that’s why it works.

Which mean 3 in 4 selections actually win, which means the higher the strike rate the more likely the accumulators would be successful, from January 25th 2013 to 18th June 2014, we’ve managed to tip 42 four horse win accumulators, all fully independently proofed.

A nap sequence in line with our average strike rate would be similar to the below.

1st, 1st, unplaced, unplaced, 1st, 1st , 1st , 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st unplaced, 1st, 1st ,1st ,1st, 1st 1st unplaced, unplaced.

In the above sequence there was a win double, 1 win 7 fold, and 1 win 6 fold.

Personally I don’t know any tipster that offers a daily tipping service with such a high strike rate. If you know one, I would be very interested in knowing who they are.

We appreciate it’s a leap of faith, which many members have taken in the past, if you would like to join just follow the link www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register or if you have a question please email us via the contact page of our website.

If you want to receive our newsletter? just press here

Regards David (aka UKracingwizard)

Best tipping service on the internet

I thought I would drop you all a post to update you on the improved tipping model that was introduced 3 weeks ago.
It’s taken years to get this close to perfection as possible, but we now believe this is the best tipping service on the internet to continually achieve regular win accumulators, time and time again.
It’s extremely difficult to tip winners consistently and we have proven this is possible by tipping the following winning streaks over the past 15 months since we have been independently proofed, an many more prior to the 25th Jan 2013 (feel free to challenge any of our results, we can prove it, can other tipsters?).
Winning streaks below.
39 win 4 horse accumulators,
15 win 5 horse accumulators,
8 win 6 horse accumulators,
3 win 7 horse accumulators.
Most tipsters will be lucky to get 10% of the above winning streaks in the same time frame, and they’ll be tipping on every race to achieve this, we only tip a few per day however it’s still not good enough, hence the recent changes.
The new tipping model uses all the old checks and some new checks which have produced the following results. The changes have reduced the amount of losers and a positive outcome to this is increased winners and larger winnings streaks.
In the first 3 weeks we’ve achieved 9 Win Doubles, 5 Win Trebles, 3 Win four horse accumulators, 1 win five horse accumulator, 1 win six horse accumulator and 1 win seven horse accumulator.
For those following the place market, we have achieved runs of 9 in a row and 18 in a row and we are now onto our third run and going for 5 Winners in a row with the next selection.
I’m regular asked how I do what I do, as the racing results are extraordinary.
It’s tricky to explain but the best way is for you to watch the following movies, Good Will Hunting, Limitless and Rain Man, but I’m not autistic,  these capitulate a number of unique skills i have.
These skills will be nothing without an exceptional memory, knowing horses inside out, and the ability to watch horses in running, read form and spot cheating through analysis.
Oh and I forgot to mention I manage over £150 Million as an investment specialist and my investments performance is better than most city investment houses so my discipline levels are off the chart.
Even when we have an unplaced selection this information is recorded to further strength our tipping model, flagging up cheating jockeys and trainers. The only chink in our armour is we continue to offer a daily tipping service.
So for those who are already a member, this gravy train is not stopping, the definition of gravy train is a ‘cushy’ situation.
If you think it’s too good to be true?, don’t join, I’m not forcing you, If someone told you to buy a lottery ticket before the draw and give you the first 4 numbers, would you buy one? I’m sure I would and I would feel pretty silly if I didn’t and I won the jackpot.
If you want to give it a go? just click on the link www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register and become an exclusive member of the best tipping service on the internet.
Last 3 weeks results.
18th Apr Lingfield Ertijaal 1st
19th Apr Kempton Zurigha 1st
Nottingham Zaeemah 1st
20th Apr Plumpton Ellnando Queen 1st
21st Apr Market Rasen Kelvin Grove 2nd
Chepstow Cocktails at Dawn 2nd
22nd Apr Wetherby Maller Tree 1st
23rd Apr Catterick Polar Eyes 2nd
Epsom Ravenous 1st
24th Apr Brighton Red Invader unplaced
25th Apr Doncaster Perfect Heart 1st
Newton Abbot Kris Spin 2nd
26th Apr Sandown Polly Peachum 2nd
Leicester Cape Caster 2nd
27th Apr Kempton Angelic Air 1st
28th Apr Wolverhampton Global Leader 1st
Wolverhampton Come On Dave 1st
29th Apr Nottingham Hassle 1st
Punchestown Faugheen 1st
30th Apr Punchestown Beat That 1st
1st May Lingfield Right of Appeal 1st
Towcester Master Red 3rd
2nd May Musselburgh Orient Class 1st
Punchestown Artic Fire 1st
3rd May Uttoxeter Germany Calling 1st
Newmarket Trading Leather 3rd
4th May Hamilton Ayrad 1st
5th May Curragh The Great War 1st
Windsor Captain Whoosh unplaced
6th May Brighton Jaladee unplaced
7th May Kempton Lawmans Thunder 1st
8th May Chester Orchestra 1st
Chester Ballymore Castle 1st
9th May Ascot Chocala 1st

Who is the best racing tipster

Who is the Best racing tipster?

I’m asked a lot if I’m the best tipster and my response is “You don’t need to know you are the best, you just need to be better than everyone else”.

It’s not a trick question, and I’m not even going to the claim that prize myself. The results and increasing members is enough for me to know my efforts don’t go unnoticed.

The best racing tipster, can only be the best if he is consistent, understands his own weaknesses and has the knowledge and experience to analyse, improve and land even more winners. So you need to ask yourself, are you following a tipster that has all these qualities?.

Only a few weeks ago we changed the way we selected horses, even though we landed a lot of winners, and win accumulators in the past few years, I still pushed for more and better ways of increasing the winners and reducing the losses.

After all I crunch numbers for a living and protecting capital is key to continued success.

The exciting news is!

I believe we have now cracked it and our members will win time and time again and will have many happy years taking the bookies to the cleaners.

However due to our success we have to make sure we don’t shoot ourselves in the foot, which means we are considering restricting our numbers in the coming months to control liquidity on the exchanges as the bets will be a lot bigger due to recent changes.

So if you do want to become a an exclusive member you can secure your membership by clicking on the link register here

I wish you all the luck

Kind regards

David (aka UK Racing WIzard)

 

 

 

What is the difference between a good jockey and a bad jockey

What is the difference between a good jockey and a bad jockey.

There are three types of jockeys.

You have brilliant jockeys, they win races they shouldn’t, the obvious jockeys that spring to mind are A.P. McCoy and Ruby Walsh, however as they nearing the end of their career you have to questions some of their rides, Especially A.P. McCoy, we do know the good jockeys who are true horsemen and have monitored their progress for a number of years. Thankfully not many have spotted their talent and we’ll take fully advantage of this in the coming years.

You have average jockeys, they win races they should win usually with a number of jockey errors.

Then you have the below average jockeys, they loss races they should win, we know who these jockeys are and take this into account when making selections. We avoid these where possible but they do have an odd good day.

If you want to take advantage of the wealth of information we hold, check out the rest of our website.

Good Luck for Cheltenham

Jockey or Trainer?

Who is to blame?

Jockeys aren’t the sharpest tool in the box, after all, who would fly over a fence eight foot in the air at 30 mph and in away they’re similar to most professions, they can’t get it right all the time.

But it’s actually the trainer that holds the cards, if a jockey ignores the trainers instructions particular where in the race to finish, i.e. if the horse won when instructed not to, then the chances of getting further rides for that trainer or connections will be pretty thin on the ground.

The racing industry is also a small world at the top, so when a jockey ignores instructions more than a couple of times they are in affect biting the hand that feeds them.

So when a horse should win doing cart-wheels, and it comes in well off the pace, it’s highly likely this is deliberate and all fingers should be firmly pointed at the trainer.

Follow us on twitter @ukracingwizard to get regular updates from UK’s best horse racing tipster.

 

Barney Curley gamble

Barney Curley gamble analysed

The most recent Barney Curley gamble in January 2014 saw Low Key, Seven Summits, Eye of the Tiger and Indus Valley, land over £2 Million in winnings.

However it did not just involve the four horses that paid out over £2 Million which most people think.

Planning potentially started back as early as October 2012 and involved, a minimum of six horses, the four gambled horses and two bank-roller horses, five trainers and a eleven directly involved jockeys and possible more indirectly. All known to Last Minute racing Tips.

10 rides were pulled (prevented from winning), to achieve a good price for the bankrolled horses, you’re probably wanting more information by now, we’re obviously not disclosing this information to none members, but members will be made aware of these bank rolled horses the next time they run.

Using mapping software, we have identified the horses, jockeys and trainers involved and these are now being tracked so hopefully we’ll be able to spot the next Barney Curley gamble.

We have managed 469 Winning selections in our last year of tipping and were are hoping this will increase in the next 12 months.

We are currently accepting members so if you want to become a members please spend plenty of time on our website before joining.

Cheltenham racing tips

Cheltenham Festival 2014 is fast approaching, and a meeting that should not be missed.  It’s too early for Cheltenham racing tips as a lot can change in the run up to Cheltenham.

Historically the Cheltenham festival is the finale to the end of the jump season with many owners striving for a Cheltenham win; some spend decades trying while others find that mythical creature that has the stamina to stretch out up the demanding Cheltenham Hill in their first year of trying.

Research is key to picking a winner on an average Cheltenham card, but the festival is a different bag all together, due to the competitiveness of the occasion. Going that extra mile is the only way you are going to make a Cheltenham campaign successful and that means starting early.

A win at Cheltenham is a fine accolade on a Jockeys CV and no Jockey wants to finish anywhere but first. On the day, every horse is primed, the Jockeys want the glory, the money is down, how do you filter the wheat from the chaff?, there is no point waiting until the festival as every horse looks the winner on the day.

You need to do your research starting today, and fine tune right up until the off.

There are trainers that like to land a big shocker, so have stayed under the radar for the previous four months getting their animal ready for the event of the year, there are trainers that mature in full view within weeks of the festival and come out with all guns blazing.

There are those trainers who have a fine selection of entries and due to unforeseen circumstances are left with no choice but to pull entries out late in the day, turning the race-card on its head.

There are the overseas raiders and jockeys some well-known some not so well known, which can throw up some surprises.

What should be coming clear is research and knowledge is key to a successful Cheltenham campaign.

I use a wealth of tools to select my tips and to become the best horse racing tipster at Cheltenham or punter you need to have a minimum of one reliable information source.

A professional racegoer will not be without the Racing post on the day, but unfortunately it is too early even for them to publish, so a developing picture is the next best thing.

Which we will provide you I the run up to the festival.

Look out for more blogs by UK’s best horse racing tipster.

Why did my horse lose?

Your probably asking why did my horse lose when everything pointed to the fact it should have won.

Lets call our Jockey Mr Smith for the below example and no reference to a licenced jockey.

Mr Smith is booked to ride 3 hot rides and before he leaves for the track he meets his best mate and tells him to bet £500 treble on all three of his rides.

The first horse is smashed in the betting and Mr Smith rides his heart out and gets beat by a neck into 2nd place.

Gutted he lost as he is now down £500 but it’s not all bad news, the Jockey has a backup plan, if he was to lose in the first race, then his mate will lay his next two rides on an exchange such as Betfair to recover his initial £500.

So when you see a day when horses should win but don’t, there is a chance that something is a miss. You can’t guarantee a horse will win if you are trying to finish in front as Mr Smith found out, but you can guarantee to loss if your are trying to finish behind the winner.

There are jockey that can make it look like they were trying and get beat by a nose with every intentions to not win.

Lookout for more blogs by UK’s No1 Racing Tipster

 

 

 

Link

Free horse racing tips or free bets?

You all know my feelings on want to be horse racing tipsters, if it was easy nobody would be working and I’d have 10 Million plus subscribers.

If a tipster is any good then they have a value and a value means a charge for their services, however we do appreciate this is a little difficult to accept, so what we have done is put together and increasing list of free bets all in one place. So the money that you would have used to bet gives you access to our members area and the free bets can then fund your stakes. It takes just over 30 minutes to bang in your details, not a bad hourly rate.

Follow the link to over £2000 of free bets. http://www.lastminuteracingtips.com/free-bets/

Good Luck!