How to write multiple accumulator bets to annoy bookies

Bookies will hate customer writing their bets out like the following. I get asked a number of times how I bet using multiples.

Assuming I’m going to have a multiple bet I would always have my daily selection (bankers) in a multiple, as I expect these to win which gets me off to a good start as I’m looking for a minimum of 4 winners to be in the money.

So my betting slip would have, let say 8 selections.

Write out the horse selections, always take the price on my selections as they always tend to shorten. Also take the price on the last 2 or 3 runners as if you don’t and you land the first 7 winners the high street bookie will use one of their on course runners to shorten the price on track.

It doesn’t take a lot of money to move a horse odds from 8-1 to 5-1 on a low attendance evening at Wolverhampton. This could cost you a fortune. What would you prefer £50,000 rolling onto a horse that you took 8-1 or the starting price. Don’t let them shaft you, I learned when it happened to me, it was my money shortening the price.

My betting slip would look something like the below.

1 x £3 Each way accumulator (cost £6). Note the accumulator is the only each way bet.

8 x 50p Win 7 folds (cost £4)

28 x 20p win 6 folds (cost £5.60)

56 x 10p win 5 folds (cost £5.60)

70 x 10p win 4 folds (cost £7.00)

Total cost £28.20, you can reduce the cost by dropping the 4 folds or reducing the stakes from 20p to 10p etc or you could go the other way and increase these amounts.

I would not include trebles, doubles or singles as the extra cost would more than likely not be worth your stake, Also if there are mostly short prices I would consider dropping 4 folds also and increase 5,6,7 and 8 folds.

So if you want to stick it to the bookies, this is the only way you’ll give them a bloody nose.

How confident are we in our own selections? pretty confident as we introduced a money back guarantee last month. Click here to read more and see our results.

Sick of chasing losses?

Are you guilty of chasing your losses?

We have all done it, some have learned from their mistakes and some have not, it comes back to one of the key requirements to win at horse racing and that is discipline.

Does this sound familiar? your horse is clear and falls at the last hurdle, you should be up £300 but you have just lost your biggest stake of the week, you hear Tommo the racing commentator giving his misguided opinion on the selection that is being backed in from 10-1 to 6-1, does he have the skills to spot a false gamble?, you now check the racing post, the discipline is now out the window along with your staking plan and you have been talked into it, you follow the money and loss a small fortune, you are down even further, you back McCoy on the odds on favourite in the next, surely he can’t get beat! champion jockey etc, odds shortening all the time, you watch the race you start counting your winnings as he looks the winner, then suddenly he’s quickly off the bridle his shoulders are up and down with ease and he pulls up before the second last hurdle, and you are now really hurting, while Tommo forgets all about the other runners in the final seconds of the race to focus on such a common occurrence when McCoy teams up with Jonjo, sound familiar?

What is actually happening is you have made the transition very quickly from a high risk investor to a mug punter, and certainly not a professional gambler, you don’t like losing, but more importantly you haven’t mastered discipline.

You are trying to win your money back before you quit for the day, when in fact it is not your money any more, you have lost it fair and square, due to your last two betting decisions being a little reckless.

If the horse which you bet on initially that fell was going to be your only bet of the day as it had the best chance and you were 90% sure or it winning, then why chance your money and bet on a horse that has a 50/50 chance or worse and so on.

Your better off waiting for the best chance the next day or one of our naps which don’t come around every day which you can see by clicking the link http://www.lastminuteracingtips.com/nap-selections/

If you remain disciplined you stand a much greater chance of winning on the horses.

Feel free to give us a go if you like, especially now we are moving into the jump season by clicking below. I expect results to be really exciting!

http://www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register/

Why do Jockeys ride to instruction

Why do Jockeys ride to instruction?

Well this is an easy one to answer, because if they don’t, they won’t get any more rides. The racing world is very small and the last thing a jockey wants is a reputation of not doing what he has been told.

Some trainers know what they are doing and some really don’t have a clue.  Which can also be said for Jockeys.

There are many reasons for giving instructions to the jockey, this could be front running over a certain distance on a specific going condition. E.g. 3 miles on heavy going, or 2 miles on good to firm going or it could be down to the horses personality, perhaps they know the horse needs to settle in the pack before taking up the running.

A trainer may want to know if he is more suited to a left handed track or right handed, is the horse is getting easily distracted, is his mind on the job?, do they want to race?, we have seen horses jink in the last furlong time after time when they spot the exit to the stables, are they tired? Are they lazy? Do they not want to run anymore? Are they in pain? Do they need blinkers? hood fitted?  are they struggling to breathe?, do they need a wind operation or tongue strap?. Do they jump well in a crowd of horses? are they suited to fences rather than hurdles, Should the horse be coming off the pace or front running?, All this can be fed back to the trainer in the debrief from the jockey following the race.

Is the trainer trying to improve the horse’s handicap rating? There are so many reasons and the trick is to know how a horse is likely to run.

One trap a punter falls into is following top jockeys, I have seen many times top jockeys going to a meeting for one ride and trailing in last. What the trainer is after is the race debrief as he has no idea how the horse will run, such as, he’s carrying too much weight, he needs a shorter trip, he doesn’t act on the ground etc.

Only a few days ago, I spotted a horse that McCoy rode last time out, this time he had a 7lb claimer on board and the trip was shorter, McCoy was riding the favourite and was beaten by the claimer, proving having an experienced jockey on board doesn’t always mean they are going to win, the trainer is after the knowledge and experience which will give the horse a better chance the next time out.

What we are all interested in is, are the instructions given by the trainer to the jockey to win the race?, it’s probably not a surprise but on many occasions a horse will not win the race as long as he’s got 4 legs. This is either the horse hasn’t the ability or the trainer doesn’t want him to win.

A common instructions is if you can’t win don’t try, how many times have we seen jockeys press the button and then when the horse doesn’t pick up and the chance has gone, they drop their hands and finish out the placing’s.

Surely not, after all what is the point of running in a race if you’re not trying to win. Well it comes down to the root of all evil, Money?

Some trainers can’t survive without a big price winning gamble, after all if they are a small yard, training fees on a handful of horses don’t go very far. So the only way to survive is having it off with an outsider.

There is also the kudos of winning a hot handicap so the horse does the minimum to enter has a few trips and boom beats the odds on favourite at a price of 20-1. The added benefit is doing this in front of a crowd and on trainer showcase day widely known as Saturday while the world and TV cameras are watching. Is to say look what I can do, one way of getting more horses into their yard.

So to wind up, the jockey maybe good, but it’s all starts with the trainer.

Follow us on twitter.com/ukracingwizard or click here to become a member www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register.

Why Strike rate is more important than a £1 average

Why Strike rate is more important than a £1 average

Don’t get me wrong, a £1 average point score is a good measure but there is so much more profit to be made.

Personally I would take a high strike rate over a £1 average any day and this is why.

If the win strike rate is high, let say a monthly average of 95% this mean that 19 out of 20 bets would win, obviously not likely, but if it was 95% would you continue to bet singles? or go for doubles, trebles, 4 fold accumulators etc?.

Another negative aspect of a £1 average is consistency, as a £1 Average can be gained from just a few winners in the first few weeks of the year and not on an ongoing basis. Let say someone tips two 25/1 winners, technically they could tip 40-50 losers in a row and still show a profit.

So to explain further, if for example a horse racing tipster has a 20% strike rate the results would be similar to the below.

1st, 4th, 5th, 4th, 9th 1st, 4th, 5th 7th, 8th basically every 1 in 5 horses should win, or 2 in 10, 4 in 20 etc.

Now a very good tipster should be hitting 40-42% Win strike rate, that would look something similar to the below.

1st, 4th 4th, 1st, 1st, 4th, 5th,3rd, 1st, 9th over otherwise illustrated as 4 in every ten, 8 in 20 tips and so on.

A 50% win strike rate yes, you have guessed it, it would be something like one in two.

1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 4th, 1st, 5th or 1st,1st, 2nd,2nd,1st, 1st or 5 in 10 tips 10 in 20 tips etc.

The higher the strike rate the better. So over 50% is quite attractive.

Our nap (best bet) strike rate is approaching 77% with our nap placed strike rate approaching being 98% and consistent, that’s why it works.

Which mean 3 in 4 selections actually win, which means the higher the strike rate the more likely the accumulators would be successful, from January 25th 2013 to 18th June 2014, we’ve managed to tip 42 four horse win accumulators, all fully independently proofed.

A nap sequence in line with our average strike rate would be similar to the below.

1st, 1st, unplaced, unplaced, 1st, 1st , 1st , 1st, 1st, 1st, 1st unplaced, 1st, 1st ,1st ,1st, 1st 1st unplaced, unplaced.

In the above sequence there was a win double, 1 win 7 fold, and 1 win 6 fold.

Personally I don’t know any tipster that offers a daily tipping service with such a high strike rate. If you know one, I would be very interested in knowing who they are.

We appreciate it’s a leap of faith, which many members have taken in the past, if you would like to join just follow the link www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register or if you have a question please email us via the contact page of our website.

If you want to receive our newsletter? just press here

Regards David (aka UKracingwizard)

Best tipping service on the internet

I thought I would drop you all a post to update you on the improved tipping model that was introduced 3 weeks ago.
It’s taken years to get this close to perfection as possible, but we now believe this is the best tipping service on the internet to continually achieve regular win accumulators, time and time again.
It’s extremely difficult to tip winners consistently and we have proven this is possible by tipping the following winning streaks over the past 15 months since we have been independently proofed, an many more prior to the 25th Jan 2013 (feel free to challenge any of our results, we can prove it, can other tipsters?).
Winning streaks below.
39 win 4 horse accumulators,
15 win 5 horse accumulators,
8 win 6 horse accumulators,
3 win 7 horse accumulators.
Most tipsters will be lucky to get 10% of the above winning streaks in the same time frame, and they’ll be tipping on every race to achieve this, we only tip a few per day however it’s still not good enough, hence the recent changes.
The new tipping model uses all the old checks and some new checks which have produced the following results. The changes have reduced the amount of losers and a positive outcome to this is increased winners and larger winnings streaks.
In the first 3 weeks we’ve achieved 9 Win Doubles, 5 Win Trebles, 3 Win four horse accumulators, 1 win five horse accumulator, 1 win six horse accumulator and 1 win seven horse accumulator.
For those following the place market, we have achieved runs of 9 in a row and 18 in a row and we are now onto our third run and going for 5 Winners in a row with the next selection.
I’m regular asked how I do what I do, as the racing results are extraordinary.
It’s tricky to explain but the best way is for you to watch the following movies, Good Will Hunting, Limitless and Rain Man, but I’m not autistic,  these capitulate a number of unique skills i have.
These skills will be nothing without an exceptional memory, knowing horses inside out, and the ability to watch horses in running, read form and spot cheating through analysis.
Oh and I forgot to mention I manage over £150 Million as an investment specialist and my investments performance is better than most city investment houses so my discipline levels are off the chart.
Even when we have an unplaced selection this information is recorded to further strength our tipping model, flagging up cheating jockeys and trainers. The only chink in our armour is we continue to offer a daily tipping service.
So for those who are already a member, this gravy train is not stopping, the definition of gravy train is a ‘cushy’ situation.
If you think it’s too good to be true?, don’t join, I’m not forcing you, If someone told you to buy a lottery ticket before the draw and give you the first 4 numbers, would you buy one? I’m sure I would and I would feel pretty silly if I didn’t and I won the jackpot.
If you want to give it a go? just click on the link www.lastminuteracingtips.com/register and become an exclusive member of the best tipping service on the internet.
Last 3 weeks results.
18th Apr Lingfield Ertijaal 1st
19th Apr Kempton Zurigha 1st
Nottingham Zaeemah 1st
20th Apr Plumpton Ellnando Queen 1st
21st Apr Market Rasen Kelvin Grove 2nd
Chepstow Cocktails at Dawn 2nd
22nd Apr Wetherby Maller Tree 1st
23rd Apr Catterick Polar Eyes 2nd
Epsom Ravenous 1st
24th Apr Brighton Red Invader unplaced
25th Apr Doncaster Perfect Heart 1st
Newton Abbot Kris Spin 2nd
26th Apr Sandown Polly Peachum 2nd
Leicester Cape Caster 2nd
27th Apr Kempton Angelic Air 1st
28th Apr Wolverhampton Global Leader 1st
Wolverhampton Come On Dave 1st
29th Apr Nottingham Hassle 1st
Punchestown Faugheen 1st
30th Apr Punchestown Beat That 1st
1st May Lingfield Right of Appeal 1st
Towcester Master Red 3rd
2nd May Musselburgh Orient Class 1st
Punchestown Artic Fire 1st
3rd May Uttoxeter Germany Calling 1st
Newmarket Trading Leather 3rd
4th May Hamilton Ayrad 1st
5th May Curragh The Great War 1st
Windsor Captain Whoosh unplaced
6th May Brighton Jaladee unplaced
7th May Kempton Lawmans Thunder 1st
8th May Chester Orchestra 1st
Chester Ballymore Castle 1st
9th May Ascot Chocala 1st

Who is the best racing tipster

Who is the Best racing tipster?

I’m asked a lot if I’m the best tipster and my response is “You don’t need to know you are the best, you just need to be better than everyone else”.

It’s not a trick question, and I’m not even going to the claim that prize myself. The results and increasing members is enough for me to know my efforts don’t go unnoticed.

The best racing tipster, can only be the best if he is consistent, understands his own weaknesses and has the knowledge and experience to analyse, improve and land even more winners. So you need to ask yourself, are you following a tipster that has all these qualities?.

Only a few weeks ago we changed the way we selected horses, even though we landed a lot of winners, and win accumulators in the past few years, I still pushed for more and better ways of increasing the winners and reducing the losses.

After all I crunch numbers for a living and protecting capital is key to continued success.

The exciting news is!

I believe we have now cracked it and our members will win time and time again and will have many happy years taking the bookies to the cleaners.

However due to our success we have to make sure we don’t shoot ourselves in the foot, which means we are considering restricting our numbers in the coming months to control liquidity on the exchanges as the bets will be a lot bigger due to recent changes.

So if you do want to become a an exclusive member you can secure your membership by clicking on the link register here

I wish you all the luck

Kind regards

David (aka UK Racing WIzard)

 

 

 

What is the difference between a good jockey and a bad jockey

What is the difference between a good jockey and a bad jockey.

There are three types of jockeys.

You have brilliant jockeys, they win races they shouldn’t, the obvious jockeys that spring to mind are A.P. McCoy and Ruby Walsh, however as they nearing the end of their career you have to questions some of their rides, Especially A.P. McCoy, we do know the good jockeys who are true horsemen and have monitored their progress for a number of years. Thankfully not many have spotted their talent and we’ll take fully advantage of this in the coming years.

You have average jockeys, they win races they should win usually with a number of jockey errors.

Then you have the below average jockeys, they loss races they should win, we know who these jockeys are and take this into account when making selections. We avoid these where possible but they do have an odd good day.

If you want to take advantage of the wealth of information we hold, check out the rest of our website.

Good Luck for Cheltenham

Jockey or Trainer?

Who is to blame?

Jockeys aren’t the sharpest tool in the box, after all, who would fly over a fence eight foot in the air at 30 mph and in away they’re similar to most professions, they can’t get it right all the time.

But it’s actually the trainer that holds the cards, if a jockey ignores the trainers instructions particular where in the race to finish, i.e. if the horse won when instructed not to, then the chances of getting further rides for that trainer or connections will be pretty thin on the ground.

The racing industry is also a small world at the top, so when a jockey ignores instructions more than a couple of times they are in affect biting the hand that feeds them.

So when a horse should win doing cart-wheels, and it comes in well off the pace, it’s highly likely this is deliberate and all fingers should be firmly pointed at the trainer.

Follow us on twitter @ukracingwizard to get regular updates from UK’s best horse racing tipster.

 

Barney Curley gamble

Barney Curley gamble analysed

The most recent Barney Curley gamble in January 2014 saw Low Key, Seven Summits, Eye of the Tiger and Indus Valley, land over £2 Million in winnings.

However it did not just involve the four horses that paid out over £2 Million which most people think.

Planning potentially started back as early as October 2012 and involved, a minimum of six horses, the four gambled horses and two bank-roller horses, five trainers and a eleven directly involved jockeys and possible more indirectly. All known to Last Minute racing Tips.

10 rides were pulled (prevented from winning), to achieve a good price for the bankrolled horses, you’re probably wanting more information by now, we’re obviously not disclosing this information to none members, but members will be made aware of these bank rolled horses the next time they run.

Using mapping software, we have identified the horses, jockeys and trainers involved and these are now being tracked so hopefully we’ll be able to spot the next Barney Curley gamble.

We have managed 469 Winning selections in our last year of tipping and were are hoping this will increase in the next 12 months.

We are currently accepting members so if you want to become a members please spend plenty of time on our website before joining.

Cheltenham racing tips

Cheltenham Festival 2014 is fast approaching, and a meeting that should not be missed.  It’s too early for Cheltenham racing tips as a lot can change in the run up to Cheltenham.

Historically the Cheltenham festival is the finale to the end of the jump season with many owners striving for a Cheltenham win; some spend decades trying while others find that mythical creature that has the stamina to stretch out up the demanding Cheltenham Hill in their first year of trying.

Research is key to picking a winner on an average Cheltenham card, but the festival is a different bag all together, due to the competitiveness of the occasion. Going that extra mile is the only way you are going to make a Cheltenham campaign successful and that means starting early.

A win at Cheltenham is a fine accolade on a Jockeys CV and no Jockey wants to finish anywhere but first. On the day, every horse is primed, the Jockeys want the glory, the money is down, how do you filter the wheat from the chaff?, there is no point waiting until the festival as every horse looks the winner on the day.

You need to do your research starting today, and fine tune right up until the off.

There are trainers that like to land a big shocker, so have stayed under the radar for the previous four months getting their animal ready for the event of the year, there are trainers that mature in full view within weeks of the festival and come out with all guns blazing.

There are those trainers who have a fine selection of entries and due to unforeseen circumstances are left with no choice but to pull entries out late in the day, turning the race-card on its head.

There are the overseas raiders and jockeys some well-known some not so well known, which can throw up some surprises.

What should be coming clear is research and knowledge is key to a successful Cheltenham campaign.

I use a wealth of tools to select my tips and to become the best horse racing tipster at Cheltenham or punter you need to have a minimum of one reliable information source.

A professional racegoer will not be without the Racing post on the day, but unfortunately it is too early even for them to publish, so a developing picture is the next best thing.

Which we will provide you I the run up to the festival.

Look out for more blogs by UK’s best horse racing tipster.

Why did my horse lose?

Your probably asking why did my horse lose when everything pointed to the fact it should have won.

Lets call our Jockey Mr Smith for the below example and no reference to a licenced jockey.

Mr Smith is booked to ride 3 hot rides and before he leaves for the track he meets his best mate and tells him to bet £500 treble on all three of his rides.

The first horse is smashed in the betting and Mr Smith rides his heart out and gets beat by a neck into 2nd place.

Gutted he lost as he is now down £500 but it’s not all bad news, the Jockey has a backup plan, if he was to lose in the first race, then his mate will lay his next two rides on an exchange such as Betfair to recover his initial £500.

So when you see a day when horses should win but don’t, there is a chance that something is a miss. You can’t guarantee a horse will win if you are trying to finish in front as Mr Smith found out, but you can guarantee to loss if your are trying to finish behind the winner.

There are jockey that can make it look like they were trying and get beat by a nose with every intentions to not win.

Lookout for more blogs by UK’s No1 Racing Tipster

 

 

 

Link

Free horse racing tips or free bets?

You all know my feelings on want to be horse racing tipsters, if it was easy nobody would be working and I’d have 10 Million plus subscribers.

If a tipster is any good then they have a value and a value means a charge for their services, however we do appreciate this is a little difficult to accept, so what we have done is put together and increasing list of free bets all in one place. So the money that you would have used to bet gives you access to our members area and the free bets can then fund your stakes. It takes just over 30 minutes to bang in your details, not a bad hourly rate.

Follow the link to over £2000 of free bets. http://www.lastminuteracingtips.com/free-bets/

Good Luck!

Don’t be a ‘Jack of all trades’ by our best horse racing tipster

Most tipster try and tip in every race and you’ll find this to be the case especially when looking at the racing posts best racing tipster sections.

Personally we avoid apprentice races, ladies only races, national hunt flat races and arab races. It’s very rare we tip overseas and usually we only tip on Irish racing when UK racing is poor, There tends to be too much schooling in public in Ireland so we tend to exercise a little more caution.

Some days we end up tipping the best of a poor bunch, which can be frustrating, but when members expect tips everyday we can only try our best, Ideally we want all the boxes ticked but realise this can’t always be the case and an element of risk comes into play.

Look out for more aticles from UK’s best horse racing tipster

 

 

 

Betting in running -Time delays.

You can make a lot of money by betting in running, a word of warning is the time delay, some stations are behind by as much as 15 seconds, with the worst being ‘At the races’ which tends to wildly fluctuate. ‘UK Racing’ tends to be 1-2 seconds behind and the most reliable being Channel 4 or BBC racing in the UK until the analogue signal is completely turned off and everyone is on digital.

However you if you are watching in HD (High Definition) your picture will be 1 second behind the non HD channel. In a 5 furlong sprint a horse can travel 20 yards in a second which makes a big difference, and I don’t need to go too much into how 1 or 2 seconds can benefit an in running bet, by either taking your money off or laying the horse that falls.

Only yesterday i was sitting in William Hill with an Ipad and Bet365 was 4 seconds behind the SIS picture feed. So if you really want realtime go to the track.

 

The Emperor the Chinese man and the best horse racing tipster

There is many version of the Emperor and the Chinese man, the story goes that the Emperor was so pleased that the craftsman invented the chessboard that he offered him a huge chest of gold coins and jewels, the craftsman was not only good at his job but a keen mathematician.

“I don’t want jewels or gold coins all I want is a little rice to feed my family,” said the craftsman, “so all I need is for you to put a single grain of rice on the first square, two grains on the second, four on the third, eight on the fourth, and so on and so on and so on, for the full 64 squares.”

“I can do that,” said the Emperor, not thinking. And he ordered his granary to pay the man for the chessboard.

Well, that turned out to be more than a little difficult. The first few squares on the board cost the Emperor one grain, then two, then four … by the end of the first row, he was up to 128 grains.

In the second row, things got out of hand. By the 21st square he owed over a million grains; by the 41st, it was over a trillion grains of rice — more rice than he, his subjects or any Emperor anywhere could afford.

He’d been had.

On the entire chessboard there would be 18,446,744,073,709,551,615 grains of rice, weighing 461,168,602,000 metric tons, which would be a heap of rice larger than Mount Everest. This is around 1,000 times the global production of rice in 2010 (464,000,000 metric tons).

The racing tipster being aware of the power of compounding small priced winners decided this is a good way to win consistently.

All I want you to do is bet £2 on each evens favourite, if that wins roll the winnings and the initial £2 stake onto the next horse. If that wins roll the £4 stake and the winnings onto the next evens favourite and so on.

£2 x 2 =£4 x£2 =£8 x2=£16 x2=£32 and so on.

After just 10 evens priced winners in a row your £2 stake has reaches £1024

After 20 evens priced winners in a  row your £2 stake reaches well over £1 Million at  £1,048,576.00

After 30 even priced winners in a row your £2 stake reaches well over £1 Billion £1,073,741,824.00

What I’m trying to show, is there is absolutely nothing wrong with betting on and tipping an evens priced horse.

After all if you dropped in a 5-1 winner and a 3-1 winners between two evens priced winners and you have a 4 horse win accumulator, if you put a £10 stake down you would have £960 in winning.

Obviously achieving 10 or 20 winners in a row is a little tricky but 3, 4, 5, 6 winners in a row, is quite achievable, why not check out are winning streaks by clicking the link.

http://www.lastminuteracingtips.com/past-results/winning-streaks/

Look out for more articles from UKs best horse racing tipster

What is a Christmas Horse?

What is a Christmas Horse? If you haven’t heard of this saying, don’t worry as I’m going to explain.

You may leave some money for the milkman or refuse collectors at Christmas time or you may look forward to a Christmas bonus in your employment.

Well in the racing world this happens to, however the bonus is a lot bigger than a £20 note stuffed in a milk bottle or an extra day’s pay in your December pay packet.

The aim of a ‘Christmas Horse’ is for the trainer to land a big priced winner one or two weeks before Christmas, and this information is shared between the yard workers to thank them for all those days doing work at 6am.

Setting up a ‘Christmas Horse’ takes time and co-operation from the jockey, yes that’s right, the jockey will ride to instruction on the ‘Christmas Horse’ or to put it another way, take a tug, pull the horse, run wide, look for trouble, not bustle the horse up when leaving the stalls, or pull the horse up two furlongs out anything to hide the real potential.

Watch for horses that drift in the betting from October to mid December, horses that run on the wrong ground over the wrong trip etc and when the day arrives, A Christmas horse is likely to be gambled just before the off and generally the word is not out as the stable yard are in it for themselves. Spotting a ‘Christmas Horse’ is quite difficult and the average horse racing tipster will struggle to spot it, until it’s too late.

Trainers win big with National Hunt Flat races

Most punters avoid national hunt flat races, mainly due to the lack of form, and some trainers no longer pile on for that big NHF gamble, opting for a less riskier method of producing a return on their investment.

Trainers are now preferring to buy a horse at auction with a view to winning a NHF race with the sole intention to sell the horse on for 5 times the price after they land the first win.

So look out for yards that sell on horses soon after they win a NHF flat race.

Usually it will be the first run with the new trainer and in order to get the highest asking price this needs to win impressively and first time out.

Being a horse racing tipster we take into account the above which helps us make selections and avoid those horses which may not have much improvement left.

Look out for more posts from www.lastminuteracingtips.com

Watch out for the stables second choice.

What out for the stables second choice.

Once we have identified a race, we always look to see if a trainer has two or more runners.

With the increasing presence of betting exchanges and most on track bookmakers using exchanges to reduce their liabilities, the exchanges can favor some key horses creating an artificial market, Especially if a reasonable bet is placed on track to start the gamble.

A bet on a quiet evening at Wolverhampton of £500 is enough to shorten a horse’s starting price from 5-1 to 4-1 so don’t get to carried away when you see a horse shorten up.

There has been countless occasions when a trainers second runners wins at a big price, this can be pure luck? I say through gritted teeth, or more than likely trainers/owners/stable workers and my favorite the jockey’s chauffeur (driver) put the word out, that horse A will hack up only to find that Horse B the big priced outsider which wins on the bridle.

Who are the winners?, the trainers/owners/stable workers oh and don’t forget the driver.

Only last month we say Storm Survivor win at a BSP 39.58 beating the Champion Jockey A.P. McCoy into third on Lost Glory. Not again Mr J O’Neil

Speculating on the Betting exchanges with www.lastminuteracingtips.com

Sunday, 2 June 2013

Betting exchanges

Let me tell you what speculating isn’t,  speculating is not gambling and it’s not investing. Gambling is about playing with money, even when you know the odds are stacked against you.

Investing is about minimizing risk and maximizing return, usually over a long period of time (months or years).
Speculating is about taking calculated risks to seek a profitable return, usually in days or a couple of weeks. Using every available piece of information.
This is how we can help.
When I first got involved in racing, and with most of you it was likely the Grand National, wanting to land a big priced winner was the ultimate goal.
Finding a big priced winner is extremely tough to work out, and can take many hours and still there are so many variables that can blow your hard work out the water.
Attempting to speculate using larger priced selection are likely to impact on your wealth for the detriment over the long-term. So don’t fall into this trap.
Our selection tend to be shorter prices, when asked by member why so many short priced horses? it just so happens that the horses are short priced for a reason, that’s is they are likely to win. This doesn’t concern us as we remain disciplined and we bet on the right horses which is just as important as avoiding favourites that are likely to lose. Always remember only 1 in 3 favourites actually do win, but which ones?.
Professional gamblers tend to fall into two types, the first type is the one who only has 1 bet ever 1 or 2 months, but you can imagine this is a substantial bet and every possible eventuality is calculated.
The second is a gambler that is looking to make a small margin probably around 5% per race, such as placing back to lay bets.
Our betting model falls somewhere in the middle, by using all information available, keeping selection to a minimum and remaining disciplined our information is paramount to remaining successful.
What we can guarantee is that you will not win every day, but what we can say is that you will get more winners and placed than losers, after all that is why we are the No1 horse racing tipster.
Our aim is to use the frequency of selections winning or placing in a row along with compounding your winnings to push you into the top 2% of people that bet on the horses that wins.
www.lastminuteracingtips.com

www.twitter.com/ukracingwizard

How to choose the ‘best horse racing tipsters’?

Thursday, 18 April 2013

How to choose the best horse racing tipsters

Picking winners yourself may for whatever reason not be going to plan and the winners are becoming few and far between, so you have a number of option.
Carrying on as you are?, knowing that you are losing more than you are winning.
Stop betting?, which is easier said than done and finally.
If the above two option do no appeal you have only one option available, that is to seek help, so who do you turn to? A horse racing expert, but, the problem is they are not all experts, in fact there are very few experts. You have only got to listen to racing radio pundits or watch the morning line to see how wide of the mark the so called professionals are, even the studio guest which are often trainers and jockeys cannot even come up with a horse that finishes in the placings never mind a winner.
So finding the right ‘horse racing tipster’ could be like walking blind-folded through a minefield, one wrong step and boom! You have lost this weekends beer money, another wrong step and you are eating value branded food and you are not even half way through the day, another wrong step and you are having to explain to the wife why there is no money in the bank account for the mortgage or to pay for that promised luxury holiday.
There are many hurdles to cross when seeking out the Racing Wizard with the magic to turn around your bad luck which we have detailed below.
The majority of so called tipsters like the buzz of calling themselves a “Horse Racing Tipster” which boosts their ego that they can do something better than others in a field which is extremely difficult to master, but when approached correctly there are only a select few that stand out from the crowd of tipsters that can provide the expected results that you maybe looking for. But even the best tipster cannot please everyone and do not expect to.
When commissioning the services of a tipster you must remember you are not buying winners, you’re buying, knowledge and discipline. Something that the average punter does not generally possess.
Before diving in to finding a racing tipster that suits you, just wind back the years of you potential tipster, the average tipster is likely to be 40 years or older. Do you think in the early years of betting they picked winner after winner?, not likely, but there was a point in time when the tides turned.
I’m a realist, I can tell you they handed over their hard earned cash time and time again over the betting office counter with the dream of bashing the bookies for that big win or keys to the shop and may only just be turning a profit themselves.
You are probably wondering why you should put your faith in a tipster that got it so wrong for so many years? Well here starts the lesson, what you are buying is knowledge, They have already made the mistakes that you are probably still making. However there are those tipster like ourselves that approached betting from a completely new direction who have not lost a penny to bookmakers and still in profit in relation to betting on horses.
A select few tipsters are seen as a risk to the bookmaker, but who know which tipsters are the best in the business? That’s easy, that is the bookies themselves, after all they are paying members of my service, which makes me chuckle every-day. There are some good tipsters out there but the consistency lets them down. I hae only ever rated one tipster who retired a few years back and sold on the business so I won’t mention in case of confusion as the service is now pretty poor.
Let me ask a question, If there is a threat to your business wouldn’t you want to know about it and try to implement damage limitation? How does a bookies do this? They find out who the good tipsters are, they track the performance and if the consistency is constant they shorten the price at the racetrack. The large bookmakers have a monthly meeting and discuss the tipster threat, why? Because they want all your money and don’t want to give any value especially if there a chance of the selections landing on a frequent basis, so a tipster that is consistent on a weekly, monthly and yearly basis can hit a bookie hard on the bottom line, which can make the difference whether they turn a profit or loss in that financial year.
You also need to search for proof that a tipster claims are true, this can only being guaranteed from independent reviews by a third party proofing service, we use the ‘Secret Betting Club’ that conducts independent research before recommending to their members to make sure the very best tipster is recommended, if you don’t make the grade your out, that is why we use them.
You can also find reviews and comments on social media such as twitter, you have to factor in a negative margin, as you can’t please everyone, Some people expect a dozen tips per day, some expect double digit winners daily, So those that are seeking the impossible I would suggest you overlook 15% negative comments and look at the frequency and how genuine the comments are which will give you a good indication if they are right for you are not.
A powerful form of physical proof is that the tipster bets on his own selections and wins, with a little research you will be able to find this on a ‘good tipsters’ website. If you can’t then they don’t bet on their own selections and thus don’t have the confidence in their own abilities.
Research carried out showed that for every loser tipped it takes two winners to recover from the disappointment of that loser, thankfully we are achieving an average of 67% win strike rate, so we do retain the majority of our members. But I must stress again we are not right for everyone.
We also on a monthly basis publish an analysis of our results on our website and provide this to the independent proofing service who audit this information against the emails sent daily before racing commenced with the days selection.
This is a must in your search for you tipster.
Knowledge is priceless but it doesn’t mean anything if not coupled with Discipline, there must be a betting strategy behind the selection given as you need every bit of guidance on the road to winning.
A tipster will not win everyday and even we have hit and miss days, but keeping disciplined and following a betting strategy will keep losses to a minimum until the wins come back around, you must always follow a staking plan.
The next thing to consider is the cost of the service you are paying for?
If you had a problem with your brakes on your car, would you accept an offer from someone you chatted to on twitter to fix them for free? Or have you home electrics repaired for free? Well I certainly wouldn’t. it’s imperative that you do your research. So do you still want to accept those free tips from those want to be a horse racing tipsters that has an ego that doesn’t take into account the financial implications of recommending a selection that they picked using the limited knowledge at their disposal.
So how much should a good tipster cost? If it has a value then there is a price attached, we offer a happy medium which is value for money, affordable with consistency.
What you must not do is fall into the trap of the more you pay the better quality the tips will be, after all you still need stake money.
So to summarise.
You want knowledge, experience, discipline and a proven strategy to keep losses to a minimum on those hit and miss days and consistency to enable winnings to be possible on a frequent basis.
Proof of results which are independently checked is a must and do your own research before becoming a member of any tipping service.
Good Luck
David
www.lastminuteracingtips.com
www.twitter@ukracingwizard